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Perry leading GOP 2012 rivals; Obama even with Romney, Perry. Quinnipiac poll.

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WASHINGTON--The Obama team and the 2012 GOP presidential contenders are adjusting to the new reality: Texas Gov. Rick Perry has easily made up time despite his late entry into the White House race. He's leading the pack, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll. Perry and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney are running about even with President Barack Obama. Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman has yet to register.


From the poll: "Among Republicans and independent voters leaning Republican, Perry gets 24 percent to Romney's 18 percent, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's 11 percent, Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann's 10 percent, Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul's 9 percent and businessman Herman Cain's 5 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets 3 percent, while former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, former Sen. Rick Santorum and Michigan U.S. Rep. Thaddeus McCotter get 1 percent each."

Click below for the poll....

below, release from Quinnipiac....

PERRY JUMPS TO THE TOP OF GOP PACK,
QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS;
PERRY, ROMNEY EACH RUN NECK AND NECK WITH OBAMA

Texas Gov. Rick Perry has zoomed to the front of the line of GOP presidential candidates with a 24 - 18 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney among Republican voters, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Romney and President Barack Obama are in a dead heat while Perry trails the president by 3 points in 2012 matchups.

Republicans and Democrats are tied 38 - 38 percent when the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey asks American voters who they would vote for in the 2012 races for U.S. Congress - the so-called "generic ballot."

The percentage of all registered voters who say President Obama deserves a second term in the Oval Office has fallen to a negative 42 - 51 percent, matching a 41 - 50 percent all-time low reading on whether he deserves another four years in office from a March 30 survey.

"Gov. Rick Perry has sprinted out of the gate as a candidate for the GOP nomination," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Being the new kid on the block has benefitted Perry. But with prominence comes scrutiny and both his Republican competitors and the Democrats are doing their best to convince voters he's not Mr. Wonderful. The next few months will be a race between Perry and his Republican and Democratic opponents to define him for the vast majority of the American people."

Among Republicans and independent voters leaning Republican, Perry gets 24 percent to Romney's 18 percent, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's 11 percent, Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann's 10 percent, Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul's 9 percent and businessman Herman Cain's 5 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets 3 percent, while former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, former Sen. Rick Santorum and Michigan U.S. Rep. Thaddeus McCotter get 1 percent each.

If Palin doesn't run, Perry leads Romney 26 - 20 percent with Bachmann at 12 percent.
-more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/August 31, 2011 - page 2
Romney is viewed favorably by 36 percent, unfavorably by 27 percent - somewhat better than Perry's split 22 - 23 percent favorable rating, with 55 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. Among Republicans, however, Perry is 44 - 5 percent favorable, compared to Romney's 57 - 14 favorable rating. Bachmann is 36 - 26 percent unfavorable among all voters and 50 - 14 percent favorable among Republicans.
President Obama has a split 47 - 47 percent favorability rating among all voters.
In the trial November matchups, the president ties Romney 45 - 45 percent. Obama edges Perry 45 - 42 percent and leads Bachmann 48 - 39 percent and Palin 51 - 37 percent.
In the Obama-Romney matchup, the two men do equally well among their own parties, with Romney besting Obama 89 - 5 percent among Republicans and the president carrying Democrats 87 - 7 percent. But Romney holds a 46 - 40 percent lead among independent voters. Romney carries men 47 - 43 percent, while women lean to Obama 46 - 43 percent. Romney leads among whites 54 - 34 percent, while Obama is ahead among blacks 93 - 2 percent and Hispanics 58 - 31 percent.
Obama leads 49 - 42 percent among those with college degrees, while Romney gets 46 percent of those who do not have degrees to Obama's 43 percent. The president does better among the young than the old. He carries voters 18 to 34 years old 49 - 42 percent; splits 35 to 54-year-olds 45 - 45 percent and loses voters over 55 by 46 - 41 percent.
The party breakdowns for the Obama-Perry race are substantially the same, but independent voters split 42 - 40 percent, as do men 44 - 44 percent, while women tip to Obama 45 - 41 percent.
"The president is now dead even with one top Republican and just inches ahead of the other. He needs to improve his standing among men, whites and independents to ensure his re-election," said Brown.
From August 16 - 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,730 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary included 1,185 voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.



1. If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Republican 38% 86% 3% 33% 41% 36% 45% 4% 32%
Democratic 38 1 85 30 36 40 30 77 47
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 6 3 2 2 1 5
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 3
DK/NA 19 11 11 29 17 21 21 17 14

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Republican 56% 45% 63% 36% 40% 38% 38% 38%
Democratic 21 30 13 37 39 40 37 41
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 4 2 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 1 2 2 1
DK/NA 19 20 20 21 19 18 20 17

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Republican 28% 38% 42% 50% 42%
Democratic 46 40 35 33 37
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 1 1
DK/NA 21 19 19 13 16

TREND: If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate?

Aug 31 Mar 31
2011 2011

Republican 38 40
Democrat 38 37
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2
DK/NA 19 20

2. (Republicans and Republican Leaners) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman Cain, and Thaddeus McCotter for whom would you vote?

REPUBLICANS..............................................
Tot Men Wom

Perry 24% 27% 22%
Palin 11 9 13
Gingrich 3 4 2
Romney 18 19 18
Bachmann 10 9 11
Santorum 1 2 1
Paul 9 10 7
Huntsman 1 2 1
Cain 5 5 6
McCotter 1 1 -
DK/NA 16 12 20

Cont'd
2. (cont'd, Republicans and Republican Leaners) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were... for whom would you vote?

REPUBLICANS.............................................
WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Perry 27% 24% 29% 17% 24% 28% 24% 25%
Palin 10 10 11 18 12 7 14 4
Gingrich 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 4
Romney 17 18 14 17 16 22 16 25
Bachmann 10 11 12 4 12 11 11 7
Santorum 2 3 2 - 2 2 1 2
Paul 6 8 4 17 10 4 8 11
Huntsman 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 2
Cain 6 2 7 4 6 5 5 5
McCotter - 1 - 2 - - 1 -
DK/NA 18 18 18 17 14 16 16 16

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry PartOf
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds TeaPrty

Perry 18% 26% 23% 29% 28% 32%
Palin 14 17 9 6 10 11
Gingrich 1 4 4 3 2 1
Romney 17 17 17 26 14 12
Bachmann 14 7 10 5 12 15
Santorum 2 2 1 1 2 2
Paul 10 3 12 9 10 7
Huntsman 1 2 1 2 1 1
Cain 5 7 5 5 6 10
McCotter - 3 - 0 2 -
DK/NA 17 13 18 12 13 10

TREND: (Republicans and Republican Leaners) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were .... for whom would you vote? (na=not asked in survey reported)

REPUBLICANS...........................
Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 May 04 Nov 22
2011 2011 2011 2011 2010

Perry 24 10 na na na
Palin 11 12 15 15 19
Gingrich 3 5 8 5 15
Romney 18 25 25 18 18
Bachmann 10 14 6 4 na
Santorum 1 1 4 1 na
Paul 9 5 8 5 na
Huntsman 1 1 1 1 na
Cain 5 6 9 na na
McCotter 1 - na na na
Barbour na na na na 2
Daniels na na na 5 2
Huckabee na na na 15 17
Johnson na na - 1 na
Pawlenty na 3 5 4 6
Thune na na na na 2
Trump na na na 12 na
DK/NA 16 18 20 15 17


2a. (If voting for Palin q2) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question)

WITHOUT PALIN...........................................
Tot Men Wom

Perry 26% 29% 23%
Gingrich 4 6 2
Romney 20 20 19
Bachmann 12 10 14
Santorum 2 2 2
Paul 10 11 8
Huntsman 1 2 1
Cain 5 5 6
McCotter 1 1 -
DK/NA 19 13 25

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Perry 28% 25% 31% 18% 26% 30% 26% 26%
Gingrich 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 4
Romney 18 20 15 18 18 23 17 26
Bachmann 13 15 15 10 14 12 14 8
Santorum 2 3 2 - 2 2 2 2
Paul 6 9 4 18 11 5 9 11
Huntsman 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 2
Cain 6 2 8 4 6 5 5 5
McCotter - 1 - 2 - - 1 -
DK/NA 21 19 22 24 16 18 20 16

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry PartOf
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds TeaPrty

Perry 9% 7% 24% 44% 29% 36%
Gingrich 7 1 25 3 5 8
Romney 10 26 - 16 2 17
Bachmann 22 36 4 35 32 38
Santorum - - 6 - - -
Paul 9 6 18 - 23 -
Huntsman - - - - - -
Cain - - 2 3 1 1
McCotter - - - - - -
DK/NA 43 25 21 - 7 -

TREND: (If voting for Palin q1) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question)(na=not asked in survey reported)

WITHOUT PALIN
Aug 31 Jul 13
2011 2011

Perry 26 10
Gingrich 4 6
Romney 20 28
Bachmann 12 17
Santorum 2 1
Paul 10 6
Huntsman 1 1
Cain 5 6
McCotter 1 -
Pawlenty na 3
DK/NA 19 22


3. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Obama 45% 6% 86% 42% 44% 45% 35% 91% 53%
Perry 42 87 6 40 44 41 51 3 35
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 1 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 4 3 2 3 1 2
DK/NA 8 4 6 11 6 10 9 5 7

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Obama 24% 35% 16% 47% 46% 42% 42% 50%
Perry 61 49 69 38 42 45 44 39
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 4 2 1 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 4 1 3 3 3 2
DK/NA 10 10 9 9 7 8 9 7

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Obama 49% 47% 42% 43% 42%
Perry 35 43 47 47 48
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 2 3 2
DK/NA 11 6 8 5 5

TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote?

Aug 31 Jul 13
2011 2011

Obama 45 50
Perry 42 37
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2
DK/NA 8 10

4. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Michele Bachmann the Republican for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Obama 48% 9% 87% 47% 47% 48% 39% 91% 59%
Bachmann 39 80 6 36 41 37 47 4 31
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 5 3 3 3 1 4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 3 3 3 1 2
DK/NA 7 6 3 9 5 8 8 4 4

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Obama 27% 40% 17% 53% 49% 44% 45% 54%
Bachmann 58 43 68 33 39 42 41 35
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 4 2 5 3 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 2 3 4 3 3
DK/NA 8 9 10 7 6 7 8 5

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Obama 53% 51% 44% 47% 44%
Bachmann 34 40 43 41 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 4 4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 3 4 2
DK/NA 8 5 8 4 5

TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Michele Bachmann the Republican for whom would you vote?

Aug 31 Jul 13
2011 2011

Obama 48 50
Bachmann 39 38
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3
DK/NA 7 7

5. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Obama 45% 5% 87% 40% 43% 46% 34% 93% 58%
Romney 45 89 7 46 47 43 54 2 31
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 1 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 3
DK/NA 6 3 4 7 5 8 7 4 5

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Obama 24% 34% 16% 49% 45% 41% 43% 49%
Romney 64 54 71 42 45 46 46 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 2 1 2 3 3 1
DK/NA 7 6 8 5 6 7 6 5
Cont'd
5. (cont'd) If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote?

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Obama 50% 48% 42% 39% 43%
Romney 36 45 49 53 47
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 2 2
DK/NA 9 4 5 4 4

TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote?

Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 Nov 22
2011 2011 2011 2010

Obama 45 47 47 44
Romney 45 41 41 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2
DK/NA 6 7 6 7


6. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Sarah Palin the Republican for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Obama 51% 11% 89% 51% 50% 52% 42% 93% 64%
Palin 37 77 4 35 39 35 44 4 26
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 4 3 4 1 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 5 3 5 5 1 4
DK/NA 4 5 2 4 4 5 5 2 3

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Obama 31% 43% 21% 57% 51% 48% 49% 56%
Palin 54 43 63 33 38 39 40 31
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 4 3 5 3 3 3 4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 5 6 2 5 5 4 6
DK/NA 6 5 6 3 3 6 5 4

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Obama 54% 54% 50% 50% 47%
Palin 34 36 40 36 44
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 3 4 4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 4 6 3
DK/NA 6 3 4 3 3

TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Sarah Palin the Republican for whom would you vote?

Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 Nov 22
2011 2011 2011 2010

Obama 51 53 53 48
Palin 37 34 36 40
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 3
DK/NA 4 6 4 4


7. Is your opinion of - Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Favorable 22% 44% 4% 19% 26% 17% 25% 6% 19%
Unfavorable 23 5 41 22 24 21 21 26 26
Hvn't hrd enough 55 51 55 58 48 61 53 68 52
REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 - 2

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Favorable 31% 25% 35% 16% 21% 25% 21% 22%
Unfavorable 15 19 8 17 23 26 18 34
Hvn't hrd enough 52 55 55 66 55 49 60 43
REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Favorable 18% 21% 21% 27% 27%
Unfavorable 19 21 22 31 26
Hvn't hrd enough 62 58 56 41 47
REFUSED 1 - 2 1 -


8. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Favorable 36% 57% 17% 39% 42% 31% 41% 16% 29%
Unfavorable 27 14 44 24 29 26 26 41 19
Hvn't hrd enough 35 28 38 35 27 41 31 43 50
REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 3

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Favorable 46% 45% 43% 34% 34% 40% 32% 44%
Unfavorable 20 24 18 25 28 28 26 31
Hvn't hrd enough 33 29 37 39 36 30 40 22
REFUSED 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Cont'd


8. (cont'd) Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Favorable 25% 37% 39% 49% 41%
Unfavorable 25 28 31 27 31
Hvn't hrd enough 48 33 28 23 27
REFUSED 1 1 2 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about him?

FAVORABLE.....
High Low
Aug 31 Nov 22 Mar 25 Nov 12 Oct 31 Nov 22 May 3
2011 2010 2010 2008 2007 2010 2007

Favorable 36 38 28 34 28 38 17
Unfavorable 27 26 25 20 25 26 16
Hvn't hrd enough 35 35 45 43 45 35 65
REFUSED 2 2 2 3 2 2 2


9. Is your opinion of - Michele Bachmann favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Favorable 26% 50% 7% 23% 28% 24% 30% 8% 23%
Unfavorable 36 14 53 38 38 34 35 39 28
Hvn't hrd enough 37 34 39 37 33 41 33 53 46
REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 - 2

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Favorable 37% 32% 44% 19% 27% 30% 27% 24%
Unfavorable 26 36 16 38 34 37 29 51
Hvn't hrd enough 35 31 38 41 38 33 43 25
REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Favorable 22% 26% 27% 30% 33%
Unfavorable 32 31 36 48 34
Hvn't hrd enough 44 42 36 22 31
REFUSED 1 - 2 - 1


10. Is your opinion of - Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Favorable 32% 63% 8% 28% 32% 32% 37% 8% 25%
Unfavorable 55 25 80 58 54 55 52 73 54
Hvn't hrd enough 11 10 10 11 12 10 9 18 19
REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 3 3 1 2

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Favorable 45% 37% 54% 27% 34% 33% 35% 26%
Unfavorable 43 51 30 57 55 54 49 67
Hvn't hrd enough 8 9 12 13 9 11 13 6
REFUSED 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 2

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Favorable 29% 33% 34% 30% 36%
Unfavorable 52 55 58 61 54
Hvn't hrd enough 16 10 7 8 9
REFUSED 3 2 1 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?

Aug 31 Nov 22 Sep 09 Jul 21 Mar 24 Sep 18
2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2008

Favorable 32 36 31 35 33 37
Unfavorable 55 51 50 49 51 30
Hvn't hrd enough 11 10 15 14 14 31
REFUSED 2 3 3 2 2 2


11. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Favorable 47% 8% 86% 45% 45% 48% 38% 92% 62%
Unfavorable 47 87 10 48 49 45 56 6 31
Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 1 2
REFUSED 3 2 2 5 3 4 3 1 5

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Favorable 28% 39% 21% 52% 47% 44% 46% 49%
Unfavorable 66 55 72 40 47 50 48 45
Hvn't hrd enough 2 4 4 3 2 3 3 2
REFUSED 3 2 3 4 3 3 3 3


Cont'd

11. (cont'd) Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Favorable 53% 51% 46% 41% 44%
Unfavorable 40 45 49 54 53
Hvn't hrd enough 4 1 2 2 1
REFUSED 3 3 3 3 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about him?

FAVORABLE.....
High Low
Aug 31 Nov 22 Sep 09 Jul 21 Mar 25 Nov 12 Feb 21
2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2008 2007

Favorable 47 48 47 49 47 67 44
Unfavorable 47 48 45 45 47 19 14
Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 5 4 4 11 40
REFUSED 3 2 3 2 1 3 1


15. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President...
Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp

Yes/deserves 42% 6% 81% 39% 41% 43% 33% 89% 51%
No/Does not 51 90 12 53 53 49 60 5 44
DK/NA 7 3 7 8 6 8 7 5 5

WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION.....
BrnAgn No col College
Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree

Yes/deserves 24% 32% 16% 45% 44% 40% 41% 46%
No/Does not 70 60 78 48 50 52 52 48
DK/NA 7 8 7 6 6 8 7 6

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Mltry
<30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds

Yes/deserves 46% 46% 41% 38% 40%
No/Does not 46 47 53 56 55
DK/NA 8 7 6 6 6

TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
(*Low also 40% Mar 2010)

BIN LADEN DEATH YES DESERVES...
Post Pre High Low
Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 May 05 May 05 Jul 13 Jul 21
2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010*

Yes/deserves 42 47 46 46 45 47 40
No/does not 51 47 48 42 48 47 48
DK/NA 7 7 6 11 6 7 12

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