A poll by YouGov.com has a split result for the top of the Illinois ticket: In the hotly contested Senate contest, Democrat Alexi Giannoulias is at 47 to 44 for Republican Mark Kirk. In the race for governor, Bill Brady is at 47 to 40 for Gov. Quinn.
From YouGov: Interviews with 1000 registered voters, including 784 likely voters, were conducted October 25-30, 2010
Below, YouGov.com release....
Illinois Republican leads Governor's race, while Democrat leads Senate
In the last couple of days before the election, the race for U.S. Senate remains tight, while the Republican candidate for Governor has a more comfortable lead over his Democrat candidate.
Among likely voters, the Republican candidate for Governor Bill Brady leads
incumbent Governor Democrat Pat Quinn by 7 percentage points.
The race for U.S. Senate is tighter with the Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias leading Republican Mark Kirk by 4 percentage points.
Alexi Giannoulias 47% 47%
Mark Kirk 40% 44%
Pat Quinn 40% 40%
Bill Brady 43% 47%
Quinn shows weakness among his base, Giannoulias shows strength
Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate Alex Giannoulias has been able to consolidate his
base among likely voters, and leads Republican Mark Kirk by 10 percentage points among women, and voters aged 30 to 64 by 8 percentage points.
Incumbent Democratic Governor Pat Quinn has not been able to consolidate his base as well, receiving only 77 percent support among likely voters who are Democrats while his Republican opponent Bill Brady receives 90 percent support among likely voters who are Republican. Quinn is tied with Brady among women, a traditionally Democratic voting group and trails among Independents by 18 percentage points.
Interviews with 1000 registered voters, including 784 likely voters, were conducted October 25-30, 2010, online using YouGov's PollingPoint panel. YouGov uses a matched sample methodology that selects respondents to match the Illinois registered voter population in terms of demographics (age, race, gender, education, employment status, income, marital status, children), past voting behavior, and political attitudes (interest in politics, party registration, and ideology).
YouGovPolimetrix is the North American subsidiary of YouGov PLC, which conducts polls
around the world using its online panels