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Rep. Judy Biggert Illinois House 13th district poll puts her in lead

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WASHINGTON---Rep. Judy Biggert (R-Ill.) re-election campaign polled her district on Tuesday and Wednesday, finding her with a strong lead over Democrat Scott Harper.

Biggert's campaign sent me a memo from her pollsters, Linda DiVall and Randall Gutermuth, with highlights from the new survey as a reply to my post about a poll Harper's campaign shared with me about his prospects in the west suburban Illinois House 13th district race. Harper is in a rematch with Biggert; she won in 2008 with 54 percent to Harper's 44 percent.

Click below for the Biggert campaign poll memo.

Below, from the Biggert campaign....

o: From: Re: Date:
Interested Parties Linda DiVall and Randall Gutermuth Key Findings from Recent IL CD-13 Survey July 29, 2010

The following outlines the key findings from a survey commissioned by Judy Biggert for Congress. Interviews were conducted July 27-28, 2010. The margin of error for the entire sample (n=400) is +/- 4.9% at the 95% confidence level.

Judy Biggert is in a strong position heading into October, more than doubling Harper's vote share.
 Biggert leads Scott Harper 61% to 28%, with 10% undecided. 41% of voters are definitely voting for Biggert compared with only 10% definitely voting for Harper.
 Judy's job approval is stellar, with 57% of voters approving of the job she is doing and only 30% disapproving.
Harper has very little definition and a rather poor favorable to unfavorable ratio.
 Harper's favorable to unfavorable ratio is only 11% favorable: 8% unfavorable. Conversely, Biggert's is 62% favorable: 26% unfavorable.
 Even among those who are aware of Harper (46% of the electorate), he still trails Biggert 56%-33%.
As seen in the rest of the country, the political environment has improved significantly since Harper's previous attempt in 2008.
 In October 2008 the generic Congressional ballot in this district was tied (42%-42%). Today the generic Republican leads 47%-31%.
 Both Kirk and Brady are leading in this district as well, with Kirk leading Giannoulias 49%-37% and Brady leading Quinn 49%-35%.
Judy Biggert is well positioned to be re-elected with Harper facing a difficult political environment as well as an extremely popular and well financed incumbent. It is hard to imagine the Democratic Party and their donors becoming engaged in this race with so many vulnerable incumbents to protect.

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Lynn Sweet

Lynn Sweet is a columnist and the Washington Bureau Chief for the Chicago Sun-Times.

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This page contains a single entry by Lynn Sweet published on July 29, 2010 11:31 PM.

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