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Giannoulias poll gives him 49-45 percent lead over Mark Kirk

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Briefing from the Giannoulias campaign--with the top advisors, not Illinois Democratic Senate nominee Alexis Gianoulias--is to start at 1:30 p.m. Chicago time

Below, polling memo from the Giannoulias campaign......


February 16th, 2010
Alexi Giannoulias Continues to Hold Advantage
Over Mark Kirk in Race for U.S. Senate
To: Interested Parties
From: Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research


Illinois Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias heads into the general election campaign with a 49 - 45 percent lead over Republican Congressman Mark Kirk in a head-to-head match-up.
Giannoulias' advantage is virtually unchanged from last summer and fall, before the hard-fought Democratic primary battle.

Despite the fact that Kirk didn't face a competitive primary and the Republican Party's decision
to begin their attacks on Giannoulias the moment the polls closed on February 2nd--Giannoulias
continues to lead Kirk in a head-to-head matchup. In addition, 53 percent of voters approve of
the job Giannoulias is doing as State Treasurer, while less than 30 percent disapprove.

This will likely remain a close contest through the campaign season, but there is no doubt that
Giannoulias is in a stronger position than Kirk to win the race.


Table 1: "Thinking about the general election for US Senate in November of
2010, if the general election for US Senate were held today and the candidates
were: Democrat Alexi Giannoulias and Republican Mark Kirk--for whom would
you vote, Democrat Alexi Giannoulias or Republican Mark Kirk?"
(Percent responding)
Giannoulias -
Kirk
February 9-14, 2010 49 - 45
October 25-28, 2009 46 - 43
July 28-August 2,
2009 45 - 40

 Giannoulias leads among voters who know both candidates. Among voters who can
identify both Giannoulias and Kirk, Democrat Giannoulias holds a 51 - 45 percent lead.
Clearly, Giannoulias' lead is not built on a name identification advantage.


Alexi Giannoulias Continues to Hold Advantage Over Mark Kirk in Race for U.S. Senate




 2010 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, All Rights Reserved. February, 2010
 Giannoulias expands lead with moderates. Giannoulias now leads Kirk by 24 points
among moderates, an improvement from October when he led by 14 points among this
key electoral bloc.


 Democrats remain more popular than Republicans in Illinois. Despite what we are
seeing elsewhere, Democrats are still significantly more popular than Republicans in
Illinois. Just 34 percent of Illinois voters have a favorable impression of the GOP, while
46 percent have unfavorable impressions. By comparison, views of Democrats are
evenly split (41 - 42 percent favorable-unfavorable).

 President Obama remains very popular in Illinois. President Obama continues to
have very solid standing in Illinois. The President's 59 - 31 percent
favorable/unfavorable rating is as high as in any state we've seen recently. Even among
Independents, Obama has a positive, 51 - 35 percent favorable/unfavorable rating.
Sixty-four percent of Illinoisans approve of the job Obama is doing as President.

The general election findings are based on a sample of 600 likely general election voters conducted February 9-14, 2010 conducted for the Giannoulias campaign. A sample of this size is subject to a margin of error of +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level.

2 Comments

It is amazing that Illinois has been run by Democtrats and is in such dire condition and people there still support Democtrats!!! How STUPID!!!

Steve, you need to check up on your Illinois history. Illinois is not in bad shape solely because of the Democrats, it has been a joint Republican-Democrat effort over a long period of time. We had a very good Republican governor (Jim Edgar) who pulled the state out of a financial hole left by a free spending Republican governor (Big Jim Thompson) followed by a very bad Republican governor (George Ryan) who promptly spent all the money Edgar saved up and is now cooling his heels in federal prison on a number of corruption charges. Because of Ryan, we got something I never expected to see in my lifetime in Illinois--a Democratic governor (Rod Blagojevich) who promptly threw away an office that the Democrats had been dreaming about for years. Hopefully, George Ryan will still be around to show Rod how to handle himself in prison when these two political crooks end up sharing the same cell. At least Illinois is an equal opportunity state as far as sending Republican and Democratic governors to jail! But Rod and George were only part of the problem, the real problem lies with the Illinois legislature, both Republicans and Democrats, who lack the will to solve Illinois's financial mess by raising taxes (which is the only realistic solution to get the state out of the mess they have created) because they are afraid if they actually show some backbone for once and do what is needed to save the state they will be voted out of office and replaced by another set of scoundrels.

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Lynn Sweet

Lynn Sweet is a columnist and the Washington Bureau Chief for the Chicago Sun-Times.

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This page contains a single entry by Lynn Sweet published on February 17, 2010 1:27 PM.

Kendall, DuPage Illinois healthiest counties. Cook not so good. was the previous entry in this blog.

Illinois GOP tries to foil Alexi Giannoulias phone briefing with demand: "Put Alexi on the phone" is the next entry in this blog.

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