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Why Barack Obama is poised to be the next president of the United States. Campaign memo

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WASHINGTON--On a Friday conference call, Obama national field director Jon Carson said all early voting trends and voter registration numbers in battleground states are in Barack Obama's favor. Click below for the Carson memo.

TO: Interested Parties

FR: Jon Carson, Obama-Biden Campaign Field Director

RE: State of the early vote

DA: October 24, 2008

According to information from Secretaries of State from all over the country, Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004 and new and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans.

Below is the data on early voting I provided on the conference call earlier this afternoon.

Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004:

North Carolina - 2008 to date

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM
520,064
56%

REP
254,515
27%

UNA
155,476
17%

North Carolina - 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM
479,305
48%

REP
363,294
37%

UNA
149,632
15%

Nevada - 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem
107,122
53%

Repub
63,577
32%

Other
30,938
15%

Total
201,637

Nevada - 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM
147,408
45%

REP
135,743
41%

OTHER
45,211
14%

Iowa - 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem
132,882
50%

Repub
76,689
29%

Other
53,787
20%


Iowa - 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem
185,115
48%

Repub
118,167
30%

Other
86,071
22%


New Mexico - 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem
84,123
56%

Repub
49,145
33%

Other
16,484
11%


New Mexico - 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem
178,216
50%

Repub
132,505
38%

Other
42,461
12%


Colorado - 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem
184,352
39%

Repub
181,424
38%

Other
110,284
23%


Colorado - 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem
307,244
34%

Repub
384,642
42%

Other
221,336
24%

Florida - 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem
650,363
43%

Repub
651,700
43%

Other
225,980
14%


Florida - 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem
1,056,986
42%

Repub
1,097,616
43%

Other
386,367
15%

New and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans:

Colorado - 2008 to date

There are 233,878 new Democrats - 101,595 (43%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 195,794 new Republicans - 70,248 (36%) have requested mail in ballots.

20% of all Democrats voting by mail have never voted in a general election before.

North Carolina - 2008 to date

There are 816,801 new Democrats - 70,561 (9%) have voted early.

There are 491,106 sporadic Democrats - 91,758 (19%) have voted early.

There are 533,490 new Republicans - 30,676 (6%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 397,719 sporadic Republicans - 56,418 (14%) have voted early.

18% of all Democrats voting early are new Democrats who have never voted in a general election before and there are a lot more New Democrats.

15% of all Republican voting early are new Republicans

Nevada - 2008 to date

There are 170,672 new Democrats - 21,566 (13%) have voted early.

There are 69,979 sporadic Democrats - 13,305 (19%) have voted early.

There are 98,262 new Republicans - 8,243 (8%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 52,019 sporadic Republicans - 7,256 (14%) have voted early.

40% of all Democrats voting early are new or Sporadic Democrats

30% of all Republican voting early are new or Sporadic Republicans

Iowa - 2008 to date

There are 103,449 new Democrats - 12,874 (12%) have voted early.

There are 92,479 sporadic Democrats - 20,686 (22%) have voted early.

There are 73,725 new Republicans - 5,414 (7%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 71,647 sporadic Republicans - 11,577 (16%) have voted early.


1 Comment

Hopefully we will ALL meet together after the election and mend our fences. We have A LOT of work to do to get America back into shape. No time for bickering! Time to roll up our sleeves!

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Lynn Sweet is a columnist and the Washington Bureau Chief for the Chicago Sun-Times.

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