that sucks massive

What does being autistic have anything to do with being able to guess all of the games correctly? That shouldn't even be mentioned. It's about as relevant as letting us know what time he wakes up in the morning.
Northern Iowa isn't going to win today though, so he will have another bracket buster.

On CBSSports.com you CAN NOT change your bracket. If you could that would defeat the purpose and don't you think if that were the case there would be more perfect brackets?'

Kyle replies: Yes, as a pool manager, you can. Did it yesterday. Made my bracket look like I had gone 48-for-48 as well. The issue that's making people doubt it is that it's not anywhere on the online leaderboard, and CBSSports hasn't confirmed it's been entered. Not saying it's not an accurate report, but that's why people have their misgivings.

I don't know where you came up with this one in 13 million thing, but it's wrong. By a mile. That needs to be cranked up to billions. This kid picking 48-48 is a fraud. Period. It's like the kid that was supposedly up in that tin foil spacecraft his father built.

Come on guys, leave the poor kid alone. It was stated in an article online that the boy used his math and statistic skills to form the brackets. The only reason being autistic is the identifier of this situation is because most of them are known for their extraordinary talents. There was once a man I watched about on TV who memorized probably hundreds of numbers when he looked at a building. He could then go home and draw the building in perfect deminsion and detail only by recalling the numbers he memorized.
And, even though he got Syracuse wrong, he doesn't even have them winning the game against Kansas State anyway. So it's not like it messes up the whole rest of the bracket.

Wes is correct. Actual odds of picking the right selection for 1 game is 50/50. So actual odds of picking both right teams in 2 games would be 1 in 4. To get all 48 would be 2x2x2x2...48 times which is actually 281,474,976,710,656

Sucks alot he may have changed it but i dont know
plus ohio state will win today to :)

Is anyone else upset at how the author says "Herrmann, bless his heart, has Purdue winning it all, so it was really only a matter of time before this feel-good story reached the end of its road." May I point out that everyone had Purdue losing to Siena in the first round and yet they won...then they went on to win against A&M....give Purdue some credit...although I do doubt they will win it all....please start giving them some credit...they are a good team, with or without Hummel.

Wes and Jeff, look at the site connected to the site he referenced. If each game were 50:50, the chances of a perfect bracket would be 1 in 281 trillion. This would mean the chances of Lehigh beating Kansas in the first round is 50%. Since these assumptions clearly can't be right, they use past statistics to figure out truer odds. Check the Book of Odds link and you'll see.

As they state, the odds of a completely correct bracket are 1 in 35.36 billion.

http://www.bookofodds.com/Daily-Life-Activities/Sports/Articles/A0151-March-Madness-The-Perfect-Bracket

From a mathematician viewpoint, although the chances are low, chances of something never happening are usually lower. The chance of me winning the Powerball are miniscule (1 in 195.2 million), but that chance of one million people buying a powerball ticket every drawing and no one winning for 20 years winning the Powerball is only .002% (not to mention the jackpot would be over$1 billion). Same goes for the tournament. Chances of one person getting a perfect bracket through two rounds is slim. If we assume one million bracket are filled out per year (clearly a low estimate) the chances of someone having a perfect bracket through two rounds over a 10 year span is about 52.4%.

I can't say whether this case is legit, but I'm not going to assume some autistic kid is trying to dupe the whole world. I imagine he could care less about the rest of the world.

You aren't very bright are you Ben. Asking what being autistic has to do with being able to guess games correctly is nothing short of a stupid question. From now on, please educate yourself a bit before making your self look foolish. Obviously I need to suggest you research "Autism".

This bracket is a fraud. There is no doubt whatsoever....This is why the world is a dangerous place. They can come on the TV tomorrow and say Iran did such and such and it's okay whatever you say. I saw it on the news....The one in billions happens on an insecure site, that the people who run the site do not stand by the bracket picks on it, and it's a kid with autism....It's ABSOLUTELY RIDICULOUS.. I hope that they have determined for sure that someone involved with this bracket does has autism. It's just a matter of how deep the fraud is. If there is a kid with autism he is being exploited. The dimwit media even smells a skunk here.

And I didn't say anything about trillions. I said billions instead of the millions that was stated. Yes, you have to plug subjective data into the equation of odds of picking each game which are not 50-50 which would lead to the trillions. There is no official answer due to this subjectivety component. My guess is it's hundreds of billions instead of 30 some billion.

First of all, why do you assume Purdue will not win it all. I think they have at least one more upset in them - Kramer is playing his last college game every time and he does not seem to want to lose, for him scoring 17 points and the last 2 against A&M is like MJ scoring 75 or so

Let's also discuss the probability - assuming each game was a 50/50 proposition an dassuming that they were all independednt of each other then the probability is the same as throwing 48 comsecutive heads on a perfect coin, that is 1/284 Trillion accordong to my calculations

However, first of all the propositions are not independent - for example if you chose like President Obama Siena over Purdue you were guaranteed to miss the next game also won by Purdue. Second of all as someone pointed out some games have higher probabilities than others - for example the 1:16 matches in the first round.

I have no idea however how to compute what the probability is once we account for the dependent probabilities. Maybe there is a Statistics professor at Purdue that can (I sure there is in fact)

Finally, people are confusing what probability they should look at - it is not the probability I decscribed above (which describes the chance of the one brackeyt I filled going 48 for 48), but rather how likely is that of all the brackets filled in the USA (or the world) in all the recent years, one would go 48 for 48 (because the sotry would have broken wether it was last year, this year or 5 years ago) - but even if you hold it to this year alone and say we assume 5,000,000 brackest were filled across all major sports sites (ESPN had 4.7 million so this is very realistic) that makes the probability to 56 million, still a long shot but much more likely (and the same logic applies to the dependent probability whatever that would be)

If you do not asgree think about this way - if I throw a coin 10 times, it is not likely that I will get all heads (1/1000). But if you get 100 people at work to do it, you have a 1/10 chance of at least one person getting the 10 heads (and a 1/5 chance of one perosn doing 10 of the same face)

Why are ya'll doubting the kid because He could actually be able to guess 48-48. It doesn't matter about the autism, if anything it should make it that more of an eye opener for those who doubt everything. I could see where he can have Purdue winning it all they are a good and physical team.

come on you guys give the kid a break! i know that there isn't a good chance of him getting the bracket all correct. But there is still a good chance Purdue will win. and N. Iowa is gonna win! And Hey Ben is correct yea look up the definition for "Autism" Ben.

Good try Alex. Better luck next year! I had a perfect bracket too until the games began! lol

Wes is a hater

he memorized the stats of each team like rainman just like my nephew memorized actors and year on movies he's watched

Math and statistics predict upsets???