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New poll has Robin Kelly pulling ahead in race for Jesse Jackson's old seat

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Al Podgorski/Chicago Sun-Times

Former State Rep. Robin Kelly is gaining momentum in the race to replace Jesse Jackson Jr., according to a new poll released by Kelly's campaign.

The poll came on Feb. 4-5 and shows Kelly leading previous front-runner Debbie Halvorson, who has been hammered by an outside SuperPAC TV commercial. With an almost 5-percent margin of error, however, the two are in a statistical tie for the 2nd congressional seat, according to the poll. The poll shows Kelly leaping 11 points from January to February.

According to GBA Strategies, Kelly leads with 26 percent of all likely voters, with Halvorson slipping into second place with 22 percent and state Sen. Toi Hutchinson in third place with 20 percent.
Kelly has seized on the gun issue in the campaign, trumpeting her lifetime F from the NRA and lambasting her opponents -- Hutchinson and Halvorson -- for having high ratings with the NRA.

The details: The survey is of 400 likely voters in the February 26th special primary election. Interviews were conducted on February 4-5 and respondents were reached on both landlines and cell phones. Results for the survey carry a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent at the 95 percent confidence interval.

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From Kelly's campaign:

• Kelly moves into first place. After sitting behind both Halvorson and Hutchinson in an early January survey, Kelly now leads the pack at 26 percent of likely voters.

o Kelly has wide base of support. Kelly's lead is broad as she expands her support in every corner of the district. She now leads among African American voters
across the district and throughout Cook County--both in the city and the suburbs.

o Kelly's leadership on gun control resonating. Among those voters who volunteer that they have heard Kelly's message on preventing gun violence and taking on
the NRA, she wins a whopping 65 percent of the vote.

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