By Joe Henricksen
A week ago I was driving the Shaka Train. I was the railroad engineer, train operator, conductor -- whatever you want to call me -- in calling for VCU coach Shaka Smart to be the guy to lead Illinois basketball.
I also hinted it may be a longer shot to land Smart than many people expected. And with all that Smart had going at VCU -- a place he loved coaching, making $1.2 million a year, upgrades in the program, another NCAA Tournament team, seven of his top eight players returning next year with a couple of stud recruits coming in, off-the-charts perks for a mid-major program and, according to almost everyone, not being consumed by $$$$ -- he had the right to think he could be the Mark Few of the east or, at the very least, be extremely patient with his next coaching move.
The zealousness I had for the Smart Illinois hire was highlighted in this very blog. The Hoops Report said to make it impossible for Smart to turn down Illinois. But unless something dramatically changes, Illinois will be Shakaless, according to three sources close to the Illinois-Smart scenario -- two of which are very close. It's just not going to happen. And the reasons that were given all made sense.
There has been so much Shaka Fever in these parts it almost seemed like the guy was actually coaching Illinois in Thursday night's win over Wichita State. Might Shaka Smart even be included in next year's Illinois basketball media guide, listed right there with Harry Combes, Lou Henson, Bill Self and Bruce Weber with a 0-0 coaching record? (Shaka would only have eight fewer Fighting Illini wins than Gene Bartow, however.)
But one thing that hasn't changed is the fact Illinois needs to forget Plan C and Plan B and continue to do whatever it takes to get Plan A done. And that's to go hire a difference-maker, a coaching star. It's in athletic director Mike Thomas' hands, and hopefully the money is there and the program is committed to providing whatever resources a superstar coach requires. It's OK to have more than one Plan A.
If indeed these sources who said in the last 24-36 hours that Shaka to Illinois is not going to happen are correct, all it does is change who Plan A is at this time. There is a new Plan A out there. The problem is you just don't want to miss on this Plan A -- and we'll go maybe one more Plan A after that -- because then you really are back to the drawing board.
As many names are being floated around for the Illinois basketball coaching vacancy, they all aren't the guy who can truly elevate the Illinois basketball program to the level fans expect. They all aren't home run hires. It's not that easy. This isn't to say that many of the names being tossed around aren't very good coaches; many of the names are capable of doing a fine job at Illinois. But the list of candidates, we're talking legitimate candidates, who are potential coaching superstars is limited. There is a difference between being a really good basketball program and an elite basketball program. And it starts with the next coach Illinois hires.
Which brings me back to what was really the point of my Shaka column last week, which highlighted what Illinois needed to do -- at that time to lure Shaka Smart -- to land that superstar coach. In that "Next Illinois Basketball Coach" column, there was a point-by-point look at what Illinois basketball should look like in terms of money, resources and perks an elite coach receives at an elite program.
And Illinois needs that elite, superstar coach. It needs a face to the program in the worst way, a face and name that resonates past central Illinois, in the city of Chicago and beyond. With me now resigning my post as the railroad engineer of the Shaka Train, it's on to the next one.
The Johnny Dawkins rumors are swirling around me, including the fact the Stanford coach made the long trek to Peoria to watch Jabari Parker while his team is preparing for a NIT matchup with Illinois State on Monday. If Dawkins sticks around for today's games in Peoria as well? Hmmmm ... We'll see. His plane was expected to leave early this morning. But Dawkins is getting a strong push from two influential, heavy hitters.
Which brings me back to Plan A scenario. And remember, the amount of type Plan A's out there are limited. You don't want to go too far down the line before you're back to the "Yes, he's a quality coach and will do a nice job at Illinois" line of thinking when you should be thinking "GET ME A POTENTIAL STAR!"
One highly rumored name, Alabama's Anthony Grant, would work. He brings a "business approach that is respected," but "he may not bring the bubbly personality that reverberates immediately," according to someone very familiar with Grant. And maintaining current assistant coach Jerrance Howard and putting together the ideal staff would be imperative with a Grant hire. There is zero immediate connection to the Midwest or Chicago, but Grant would satisfy and probably excite the fan base, has showed he can coach and get teams to a NCAA Tournament, brings an exciting style of play that fans would enjoy watching and recruits have fun playing in, and ends the hiring a minority drought. Grant and Illinois would work.
And then there is the name that, for whatever reason, has been hardly discussed.
Marquette's Buzz Williams.
Originally, the thought was Buzz Williams was untouchable. He makes a huge chunk of change (between $2.5-$2.8 million last year), his program has one of the biggest basketball budgets in the country, he has the Golden Eagles rolling and his buyout is too big for suitors to take him seriously.
However, the buyout for Williams is apparently fiction, put out there by Marquette people as a protective shield. The dollar amount of the buyout, rumored to be in between $1-$1.5 million, is actually one of the smaller ones among high-major coaches -- $100,000, according to a close source.
In addition, there are rumblings that despite all the success up at the Big East school in Milwaukee, everything might not be as kosher as perceived between Williams and Marquette. But it's also believed that there has been zero contact or even feelers put out by Illinois to Williams.
That may not change, but it should. Williams is adored by coaches in the city. He has a wide-ranging recruiting base. His teams play extremely hard and with a high level of toughness. He's taken four straight teams to the NCAA Tournament, including a Sweet 16 berth last year. He's won 26 games and counting this year and a date with Murray State on Saturday in the Round of 32.
So there you go. Unfortunately, the conductor of the Shaka Train has stepped off, forced to more than wanting to, but has provided two more names that could get Illinois basketball rolling.
Follow Joe Henricksen and the Hoops Report on Twitter @joehoopsreport
Was hearing a lot about Reggie Theus (he sat with Jabari's mother at the Young-Simeon game). Any possibilities there?
Agree with basically every single thing you wrote over a week ago about Shaka Smart as the next coach at Illinois, Joe. So you being such a huge fan and then hearing this... !!!! Are you putting it at zero chance from what you've heard? Thanks for your insight.
Still Hoping ... Well, yes, I think Shaka is the best hire. Superstar. But its not me who is saying Shaka to Illinois won't happen. It's what I've been told by people I respect and a couple who would certainly have the ties to know. So much goes on behind the scenes, even during a season or tournament play. Now, do things change if Illinois starts throwing around $18 million over six years or figures in that ballpark? I hope they do.
Can you elaborate on what reasons you have been given? Who might be the other A grade candidates?
Bleeding Orange ... Let's wait until the process is official. I don't want to put that out in case for some reason there is a change of heart, as I sure hope there would be because he would be so perfect for Illinois as I've written. From everything I've gathered, I just really respect the guy. Thanks. ... Joe H
No way Shaka leaves VCU. He's more than just a coach to these players, he's their friend and peer. Next season will be his first year with only HIS recruits- truly Shaka's team. If he left and went somewhere he'd be joining history while here at VCU he's MAKING history. VCU's future is bright.
@Destry...that's what we all say when we like our coach. I remembering saying it when Self was going to leave Illinois for KU. @Joe...what do you think about Lavin's comments today that Smart is going to Illinois? He had an insider too.
Ryan ... I didn't hear Lavin's comment but many people have insiders and people they trust. All I know is what I hear and it came from about as good of a source as you could possibly have, two really good, in fact. Listen, people get all up in arms when people site sources and what to believe or not to believe. Some are good sources, some are bad. Some go with bad sources and let it roll. I just believe what I received came from an exceptional source, so I would be very surprised if it wasn't true. What I don't know is where Illinois is at in its search. Could Illinois all-out stalk Shaka and throw the world at him? I hope. And I hope it changes his mind. But from what I have been told, it's not going to happen. Thanks, Ryan! .... Joe H
Joe: Why is nobody mentioning this name: Ben Jacobson from Northern Iowa????????
Joe, for as much as I respect the fact that you have inside sources, I truly hope you're wrong. After watching VCU this weekend, I am convinced that this is the best candidate for the Illinois job, bar none. Again, I agree with you Shaka Smart is a coaching superstar waiting to happen and he's on his way. It's scary to think of how good his teams are going to be once he starts attracting elite level players to his program. To watch the best teams today, what stands out to me in most cases, is the talent of its players. What jumps out to me watching VCU play is his system. Once you plug in top 100 players into that system, WOW!
So if what you say is true, and I have no reason to doubt that, its U of I's loss because it doesn't take the most seasoned fan to see how good this guy is.
Darnell ... You are 100 percent right in what you posted here. And as I wrote, I do think Shaka Smart would be an unbelievable hire and the perfect fit. So I do hope I'm wrong for Illinois basketball sake. Unfortunately, even after checking again today, just don't see it happening based on two sources that clearly would know what was happening. Thanks, Darnell. ... Joe H
Joe, do you realize you're basically the only one who's reporting that Smart has no interest? Nearly every other possible source outside of the HQ (who can't post anything meaningful anyway for fear of reputation) has said that Smart is very interested and has a good chance of being the next coach at Illinois. I'm not asking you to engage in a "source war" but there have been multiple reputable people with contacts close to Smart that have come out and said the exact opposite of what's in your article.
Judging by the fact that your "source" about Buzz Williams's buyout is completely wrong, it's hard to believe anything you've written in this article. For now I'm going with the 95% of sources who say he's interested. If he turns Illinois down, feel free to write an article proclaiming how right you were. But I just don't understand how only you could be the one reporting this and no one else.
Jerome ... I understand what you are saying, and I won't write an article proclaiming I am right if it doesn't go down. Because I'm not right; my sources would be right. That's all. And there's no reason to write a story like that. Only thing I don't like is the automatic assumption that I would make up something or run with something that didn't come from a reliable, credible source. That's all. People can disagree. No problem. Like I said, I hope my sources are wrong. No one would like Shaka Smart to be the head coach more than I would, but what am I supposed to do if I hear something from a very credible source or two, that would clearly have ties to the situation, who say it's not going to happen? Aside from a Steve Lavin comment, I guess I have missed all the reports saying Smart was definitely interested in Illinois. Like I said, I hope my sources are wrong and Mike Thomas throws the world at him, because I think he's worth it. As far as Buzz's buyout, I think you would be surprised where I got that from. Thanks, Jerome! ... Joe H
I would be surprised considering someone who knows Williams personally and has seen his contract has disputed what you said.
Again, I don't want to get into a source war. I appreciate your work and hopefully Smart somehow does end up at Illinois, because we both agree that would be a home run hire!
Let me ask you this Joe. From what you know would you put it at 100 percent, zero chance Shaka coming to Illinois? Thanks. Love the work you do.
China ... No, these things are never 100 percent. How many times have we seen twists and turns in the coaching hiring process? This stuff changes all the time. Feelings change. Money changes. And sometimes quickly. Look, once again, just went with sources that would be in tune with it and believed them at that time. If those sources were to come back and say, hey, change of heart, something has gone down in the last day, great. Hang in there. Illinois will hire a coach and a great shot at hiring a good one. ... Joe H
I'd rather have Buzz Williams. Is that an impossible option like everyone says?
As of Friday he wasn't even on the Illinois radar. But I agree, Ryan. If there was no Shaka and Buzz was an option, he would be fantastic. ... Joe H
Why would Buzz Williams turn down Oklahoma but say yes to Illinois? He is from Oklahoma and does most of his recruiting in Texas. If he was going to leave Marquette he would have gone there like all of the experts and "sources" were so sure of last year.
Joe. I appreciate all your work and all the insight you provide. Through all this, do you have any stakes or ties to Illinois coaching hire or personal hope in who they hire? Thanks. Just wondering because I've subscribed to your Hoops Report for 15 years and know you love basketball in this state so much.
Titleist ... I hear where you're coming from and thanks for the kind words. But in a word, yes! Born and raised in Illinois and loving basketball throughout, I don't know why everyone in this state –– or most everyone –– doesn't pull for the major state university and its high-major basketball program. My family has been Illinois fans for years, and I just think it goes with the territory if you love college sports and live in Illinois. And I stated with my blog 7-10 days ago how Shaka Smart should be the target and what Illinois should do to try and get him. And as I've also said, I really hope the people I spoke with are wrong. Thanks again! .... Joe H
Followed your work for years, Joe. You've done things with class and fun in your writing. People on you for this I think because we all so want it to be wrong. I for one am one that thinks Shaka is coming to save our lives! Ha! Still no different word from your sources? Thanks!
Thanks, A-OK ... Hey, people can disagree. Not sure why people have to get so vulgar and vindictive, especially over stating what I've gathered from what I believe to be reliable sources. I try to put information out there that I believe is relevant and from the many contacts I have. If the sources were a joke, I would never bother. As I've said, these things can change quickly. Sources can be wrong. I fully expect Illinois to make a serious pitch to Smart, lay it all out there for him, do everything you can to make it impossible for him to say no and see if they can convince him. Take your best shot. I think Smart has handled all of this perfectly. When I hear something contrary to what I've heard, I will be ecstatic. Thanks again ... Joe H
Buzz Williams may be building steam! It hurts us that they are still playing tho!
I'm going to give it to you Joe. I've read dozens of reports. And you only one that went with No Shaka and stuck with it through the whole process. And I bet you took some s$#t for it!
So what's up Buzz Williams? Any chance?