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January 13, 2008

Is personal recession on the rise?

An old joke goes; A recession is when your neighbor loses his job.
A depression is when you lose your job.

Actually not very funny.

What do you think of this saying? Are you having a recession in your home? How are your neighbors doing?

Continue reading "Is personal recession on the rise?" »

January 09, 2008

Subprime or sub-prime word of the year

The American Dialect Society voted “subprime” the word of the year. Sharing this dubious honor with "subprime" are previous years' Word of the Year winners, such as (2005) truthiness; (2004) red/blue/purple states; (2003) metrosexual; and (2000) chad.

In this, its 18th year of heralding sparkling new entrants into the public lexicon, American Dialecticians said "Subprime is an adjective used to describe a risky or less than ideal loan, mortgage, or investment. Subprime was also winner of a brand-new 2007 category for real estate words, a category which reflects the preoccupation of the press and public for the past year with a deepening mortgage crisis."

The Society also created a NEW CATEGORY: REAL ESTATE/MORTGAGE/LOAN WORDS—
These include :

Exploding ARM An Adjustable Rate Mortgage whose rates soon rise beyond a borrower’s ability
to pay.

Liar’s loan/liar loan Money borrowed from a financial institution under false pretenses,
especially in the form of a “stated income” or “no-doc” loan which can permit a borrower to
exaggerate income. 1

NINJA No Income, No Job or Assets. A poorly documented loan made to a high-risk borrower.
34

Scratch and dent loan A loan or mortgage that has become a risky debt investment, especially
one secured with minimal documentation or made by a borrower who has missed payments.

Continue reading "Subprime or sub-prime word of the year" »

January 04, 2008

Illinois 4th in Subprime ARM loans

Almost half of subprime ARM loans are concentrated in a handful of states, which are expected to suffer increasing foreclosures as the loans reset to higher rates. This data is culled from reporting by Noelle Cox at USA Today.

Top states for percentage of nation’s subprime ARMs:
California ... 17.3 percent
Florida ... 12.3 percent
Texas ... 5.7 percent
Illinois ... 4.9 percent
Arizona ... 4.3 percent
Michigan ... 3.6
New York ... 3.5 percent


Source: First American LoanPerformance

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January 03, 2008

Cashing out home equity

We have a story in real estate today about home equity lines of credit.

Last spring, Mark Zandi of Moody's Economy presented this slide in his housing forecast.

"The red line represents the savings rate of homeowners who have taken out home equity lines of credit, so they have cashed out (equity from their homes). You can see that their savings rate has declined sharply and their savings rate is now a whopping negative eight percent," Zandi said.

Who w ould have thought that the savings rate of renters would have ever have appeared "stronger" than that of some homeowners?

equityslide

Continue reading "Cashing out home equity" »

January 02, 2008

Bubble-icious Chicago? Not!

ShoreBank's Ellen Seidman said in an email that the Fed is not proposing, with respect to higher-priced mortgages, to "require lenders to lend based on the borrower's ability to repay at a fully indexed, fully-amortizing rate." Rather, the proposed regulation would establish a rebuttable presumption that failure to underwrite in that manner constitutes a prohibited "pattern or practice" of extending credit "based on the value of consumers' collateral without regard to consumers' repayment ability." Whether the distinction is meaningful in practice will undoubtedly be the subject of comments.

We agree, Ellen. Here's my column quoting Ellen Seidman as it ran Dec. 30.

Continue reading "Bubble-icious Chicago? Not!" »

December 30, 2007

The free market's housing bubble

Faith in markets has held sway as insurance companies have fended off calls for more government-financed health care, and as banks have engineered webs of finance that have turned houses from mere abodes into assets traded like dot-com stocks.
says the New York Times in an interesting analysis of the role of free markets in the housing bubble The Free Market: A false idol after all

Continue reading "The free market's housing bubble" »

December 27, 2007

$180 Million goes to NeighborWorks

Neighbor Works announced that it will be receiving $180 million in federal funding for foreclosure mitigation counseling.

Continue reading "$180 Million goes to NeighborWorks" »

July 21, 2007

Builders ask: where are the buyers?

Where are the buyers?

Continue reading "Builders ask: where are the buyers?" »

June 08, 2007

A whistle only dogs and buyers heard!

What's the state of the housing market?

"About a year ago somebody blew a whistle that only dogs and buyers heard and the economy came to a screeching halt," said Karl (Chip) Case, Professor of Economics at Wellesley College, regarded by some as one of the leading real estate economists in the nation.

At that, the crowd of about 100 or so real estate executives erupted with laughter.

There was no wailing or gnashing of teeth. Thankfully.

Continue reading "A whistle only dogs and buyers heard!" »

May 22, 2007

Don't hit the appraiser

Home sellers, please know: The appraiser is not working for
you.

That's a good thing.

Continue reading "Don't hit the appraiser" »

May 18, 2007

Snared! by subprime mortgage

Today, we had an excellent package of stories on mortgage rescue fraud, which is on the rise. Sandra tells the stories of two women who were snared and are fighting back; reports on a study that has found women increasingly are paying more than they should for their mortgages; reports on legislative solutions that are pending in Illinois; and offers suggestions for help if you find yourself in a bad situation.

Continue reading "Snared! by subprime mortgage" »

December 21, 2006

Market is in eye of the beholder

f you're a builder, next year looks like 2003, a record year. If
you're a home buyer, next year looks like 2007, the year after the
housing market peaked.

So who's right?

Both perspectives are.

Continue reading "Market is in eye of the beholder" »