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March 26, 2008

Chicago baseball roster decisions

BY RICKY O'DONNELL

With spring training winding down and both teams set to open their seasons (in America!) on March 31, the Cubs and White Sox are putting the finishing touches on their rosters.

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February 16, 2008

PECOTA win projections

BY RICKY O'DONNELL

If Baseball Prospectus ever needed to defend the accuracy of its PECOTA projections, they would only need to point to the 2007 White Sox. While fans and players were optimistic heading into the year- and rightfully so coming off a 90-win season following a championship- BP said the Sox would finish 72-90. Of course, they were right on the money.

The new PECOTA projections were just released and they say the Sox will be better....but not by much.

The White Sox are projected to finish 77-85, while the Cubs are picked to win the NL Central and finish 89-73.

I think both win totals could be a bit higher. Using my own precise mathematical formula (which is neither precise or mathematical), I see the Cubbies winning 93 games and White Sox winning either 81 or 95. Nothing in between.

Every time I start to get excited for this Sox season, I remember that their number three starter had an ERA around six last year and had to be shut him down in the middle of the second half so he wouldn't lose 20 games. Contreras doesn't have been to be dominant for the Sox to be successful, but he does have to be dependable. If he repeats last years performance the White Sox will be in trouble in the loaded AL Central.

The Cubs should be pretty happy with PECOTA. They're projected to finishing second in the NL in OBP at .343 and first in slugging percentage at .452. The Cubs should be helped out by a relatively poor division as well. The Pirates are projected to finish 71-91, the Cardinals are only slightly better at 72-90, and the Astros (who I think could be kind of good) are projected at 74-88.

Fist pounds to Another Cubs Blog and Sox Machine for the info.

January 25, 2008

Chicago baseball young guns

BY RICKY O'DONNELL

Spring training is fast approaching and it seems like you can start to feel the excitement in the cool air. Maybe it’s because the Bears and Bulls are such disappointments, but maybe it’s also because both teams have the players to contend this season.

While the core of both the Cubs and White Sox roster is comprised of veterans, several young players will play major rolls in 2008. Some, like Ryan Theriot and John Danks, saw extended action last season, while others, like Geovani Soto and Danny Richar, will be asked to a heavy load with little experience. Let’s take a look:

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January 10, 2008

Chicago baseball rumor mill

BY RICKY O'DONNELL

Though the Cubs and White Sox appeared to be headed in two very different directions at the conclusion of 2007, both teams, through their general managers, seem to have pushed all their chips forward for 2008. While the Northsiders are on the cusp of a deal that could be the final piece to solidify them as one of the National League’s top teams, the Sox are contemplating trading their Journey-singing, fan favorite captain.

As Chris De Luca pointed out in the paper today, a few of us internet-types may have slightly jumped the gun yesterday on the big Brian Roberts deal, though it appears the trade will be a formality in coming days.

A speedy leadoff hitter with a penchant for getting on-base, the acquisition of Roberts looks like steal for Jim Hendry, even if some don’t like that he has been recently tied to steroids. Acquiring Roberts will cost the Cubbies some prospects, but not Felix Pie or Tyler Colvin, the two crown jewels of their system. The Cubs should miss the dependable Sean Marshall, but losing a young pitcher with a low ceiling is a very reasonable price for what could be Piniella’s final piece to the puzzle.

Over in White Sox-land, it appears GM Kenny Williams will have to make another deal to complement the recent acquisition of Nick Swisher. The White Sox need to find a way to get Josh Fields in the lineup everyday, and it appears Joe Crede’s bad back and expiring contract makes sense to deal. Unfortunately for the Sox, Crede’s trade value may not be as high as his actual value, and the last thing the Sox can afford to do is make a trade just to get rid of someone. Rather, it appears Paul Konerko may make the most sense to trade because he surely would bring in a substantial package. Rumors swirled this week about a deal with the Angels centering around speed demon Chone Figgins and 26-year old starter Ervin Santana. If the Sox can add a reliever in the deal as well (don’t think Howie Kendrick is coming because Anaheim wouldn’t even trade him for Miggy Cabrera), the swap could be beneficial for the Sox.

Though Kenny Williams recently shot down the rumor publicly, don’t be surprised if the deal gets done before spring training beings.

August 12, 2006

Take your pick

Which will happen first, Mark Prior pitching again this season or the Sox catching the Tigers.