At 10-4, the Bears are the No. 2 seed in the NFC, since they have the head-to-head over the Philadelphia Eagles.
Unfortunately, since the Atlanta Falcons are 12-2, the Bears cannot get the No. 1 seed. Even if the Falcons lose their final two games and the Bears win their final two, the Falcons would have the advantage because they would have a superior conference record (they are presently 9-1).
But, the good news for the Bears is that they can do no worse than the No. 3 seed in the NFC, which means they would host a wildcard game.
The bad news? Right now, the No. 6 seed is the New York Giants. They aren't the same team now, given an assortment of injuries, but the Giants handed the Bears their second-worst whipping of the season.
The Bears final two games are at home against the New York Jets then on the road at the Green Bay Packers.