College scouting director Greg Gabriel projects three or four quarterbacks will be off the board when the Bears select in the second round at No. 44.
“You can pick the names,” Gabriel said. “I’m not.”
OK. Matt Ryan is likely to be selected in the top 10 picks. You can stack up Brian Brohm, Joe Flacco and Chad Henne in any order you would like. They’re listed here alphabetically. The belief now is a team or teams may look to trade into the end of the first round to nab one or more of these passers before teams in need of a quarterback come on the clock in the second round.
Miami, Atlanta, Kansas City and Baltimore all have picks at the top of the second round and could be in the market for a young gun. That means if the Bears, Carolina or Detroit, other clubs in need of a quarterback, see a guy they want they may need to move to strike.
I read an interesting story last week about drafting quarterbacks and now I cannot find the thing anywhere. Basically, the point was that college statistics don’t lie. If a passer is accurate in college and does a good job of taking care of the ball there, he’ll play accordingly in the NFL. If a passer is inaccurate in college, he’s going to be that way in the pros. You can only improve a guy’s accuracy through mechanics so much.
I thought about the story again when offensive coordinator Ron Turner was asked what attributes he looks for in a quarterback?
“I think the No. 1 thing is decision making,” Turner said. “Obviously, they have to have the physical talent to make all the throws, but decision making, accuracy and athletic ability.”
On that note, let’s look at some of the career numbers:
Matt Ryan—Completion percentage 60.0, one pick every 36.4 attempts
Brian Brohm—Completion percentage 65.8, one pick every 49.4 attempts
Joe Flacco—Completion percentage 63.3, one pick every 62.8 attempts
Chad Henne—Completion percentage 59.7, one pick every 37.5 attempts
There is a lot more that goes into the evaluation than this, obviously. But the general point was interesting. The argument would certainly bolster a case for someone like Brohm.
When asked how many quarterbacks he expected to be taken in the first round, Gabriel replied, “At least one.”